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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.33+3.30vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+2.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.11vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.73+1.49vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.07-0.26vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13-1.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-1.92vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.91-2.78vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.04-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Roger Williams University2.330.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.2%1st Place
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5.49Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.7Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 11.2% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 16.5% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Peter Cronin | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Riley Read | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Michael Pinto | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 7.9% |
| Henry Lee | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.