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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Walton 15.1% 14.1% 12.7% 13.7% 11.6% 10.1% 10.5% 7.9% 4.3%
Parker Colantuono 11.2% 15.1% 14.9% 12.0% 13.8% 10.4% 10.4% 8.3% 3.9%
Nathan Olmsted 16.5% 13.9% 14.4% 13.7% 11.7% 11.0% 8.8% 7.5% 2.5%
Peter Cronin 8.0% 9.1% 9.5% 9.5% 10.7% 11.9% 13.0% 14.5% 13.8%
Connor Sheridan 12.2% 12.5% 13.3% 11.4% 10.0% 10.0% 12.0% 9.8% 8.8%
Riley Read 11.9% 11.9% 11.3% 12.5% 13.1% 12.6% 10.5% 9.7% 6.5%
Michael Pinto 10.2% 9.2% 10.6% 11.0% 13.1% 12.1% 13.1% 12.8% 7.9%
Henry Lee 10.1% 10.4% 9.0% 11.5% 9.6% 12.7% 11.4% 13.2% 12.1%
Matthew Galbraith 4.8% 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 6.4% 9.2% 10.3% 16.3% 40.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.