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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+7.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.28vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+3.06vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+2.36vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.58+1.88vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.20+4.93vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+0.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14+2.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.26vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.48-3.69vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+1.93vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05-0.01vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.86-3.32vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.73-9.03vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-2.97vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.22-1.87vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.38-9.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Bowdoin College2.385.1%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University2.227.1%1st Place
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6.06Brown University2.7310.4%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University2.689.7%1st Place
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6.88Boston College2.588.8%1st Place
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10.93Connecticut College1.202.8%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island2.786.4%1st Place
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10.93Boston University1.142.8%1st Place
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9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.1%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University2.4810.0%1st Place
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12.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.5%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
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9.68Brown University1.864.3%1st Place
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4.97Yale University2.7314.6%1st Place
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12.03Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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14.13Olin College of Engineering0.221.0%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College2.387.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 21.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Jack Egan | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% |
| James Jagielski | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 36.1% |
| William Michels | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.