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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.26+7.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.75+4.32vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+1.08vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.74+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.74+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.81+3.77vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13-1.70vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.67+2.14vs Predicted
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9Amherst College2.01-0.03vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.67-3.16vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.30+0.24vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.32-3.81vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.65-5.86vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-5.74vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.82-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.08Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.49Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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9.77University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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5.3Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University1.670.0%1st Place
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8.97Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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6.84Connecticut College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.24Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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8.19Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.26Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.48Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pierce | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| James Altreuter | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 20.3% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Mumma | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Neal Drake | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 13.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 10.9% |
| Tyler Black | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Max Rollins | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 20.7% |
| Ian Paice | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Erica Lush | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.