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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.33+3.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.07+3.05vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+1.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.13+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.91+0.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-1.98vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.73-1.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-2.92vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.04-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.05Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.61Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.2%1st Place
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5.66Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Connor Sheridan | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 15.0% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Riley Read | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Henry Lee | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 16.3% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 13.9% |
| Michael Pinto | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.