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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.08+2.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.62+0.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.14+1.86vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.55+0.24vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24-1.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02-0.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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2.52Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.86Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.24Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.13Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Trammell | 19.6% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 31.6% | 25.5% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Lera Anders | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 24.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 12.0% |
| Claire Havig | 19.7% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 28.3% |
| Niall Sheridan | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.