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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+1.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.14+2.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+0.32vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24-0.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+0.10vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02-0.93vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.55-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.11Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.03Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 32.7% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Lera Anders | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 22.5% |
| Bryan Trammell | 16.7% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Claire Havig | 21.4% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 30.7% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 21.5% | 29.3% |
| Jonathan Chance | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.