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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+3.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.62+0.53vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+0.32vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24-0.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+0.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14-1.13vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.55-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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2.53Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.11Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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5.11Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.1Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 27.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 30.4% | 27.4% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 17.5% | 18.5% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| Claire Havig | 21.3% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 30.2% |
| Lera Anders | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 24.9% |
| Jonathan Chance | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.