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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+1.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+3.03vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.55+1.19vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24-0.90vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.08-1.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14-1.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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5.03Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.19Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.1Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 33.8% | 24.1% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 28.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 10.3% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 11.7% |
| Claire Havig | 20.7% | 21.5% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Bryan Trammell | 15.4% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Lera Anders | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 20.7% | 24.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 22.0% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.