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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+3.85vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.08+1.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62-0.52vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24-0.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.14-0.17vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.69-0.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.55-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.3Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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2.48Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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3.07Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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4.0Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 24.7% | 22.3% |
| Bryan Trammell | 17.6% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 31.8% | 26.5% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Claire Havig | 21.4% | 20.0% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Lera Anders | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 21.2% | 21.7% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 40.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.