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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+1.51vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+1.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+1.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08-0.69vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.55-0.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.69-0.56vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.14-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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3.0Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.15Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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4.64Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 34.2% | 23.6% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Claire Havig | 20.7% | 24.1% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 23.9% | 24.6% |
| Bryan Trammell | 17.8% | 18.3% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 10.8% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 39.8% |
| Lera Anders | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.