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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+4.34vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+1.01vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.55+1.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08-0.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62-2.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02-1.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.14-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.01Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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4.15Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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2.56Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Simms | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 37.9% |
| Claire Havig | 21.2% | 23.0% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Chance | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 9.3% |
| Bryan Trammell | 18.0% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 31.4% | 24.7% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 20.5% | 25.6% |
| Lera Anders | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.