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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.55vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+3.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38-0.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69-1.47vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.31-0.25vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11-0.98vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.68-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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5.26Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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2.95Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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2.53Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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4.75Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.02Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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3.94George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 16.4% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 6.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 23.0% | 33.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 22.4% | 22.1% | 22.2% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| JC Hermus | 31.7% | 25.2% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 21.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 27.6% |
| Matt Logue | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.