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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+1.51vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.62vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38-0.04vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.31+0.68vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.110.00vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68-1.91vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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2.96Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.68Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.0Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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4.09George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 33.9% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 14.0% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 22.1% | 23.3% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 28.1% |
| Matt Logue | 10.6% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 10.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.