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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+7.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.86+7.74vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+3.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+2.37vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.73+1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+1.82vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-0.62vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.20+3.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.58-2.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.97vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-6.15vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-2.66vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-0.98vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-1.96vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-3.99vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.22-8.78vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Bowdoin College2.385.3%1st Place
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9.74Brown University1.863.4%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.388.1%1st Place
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6.37Harvard University2.489.8%1st Place
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6.14Brown University2.739.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University2.689.8%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College1.202.9%1st Place
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6.77Boston College2.588.7%1st Place
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12.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.8%1st Place
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4.85Yale University2.7315.6%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.5%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University1.071.5%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont1.052.0%1st Place
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11.01Boston University1.142.2%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University2.227.7%1st Place
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14.09Olin College of Engineering0.220.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Peter Busch | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 20.5% |
| Jack Egan | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| James Jagielski | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.