Race 5A

bu-bridge-invitational-central-ser

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ryan Mullins 18.5% 19.3% 12.9% 12.6% 9.0% 7.9% 6.5% 4.1% 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
James Altreuter 8.6% 10.3% 9.3% 7.8% 9.7% 8.7% 9.1% 7.2% 7.4% 6.4% 4.9% 4.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.4%
Tyler Black 4.4% 3.3% 5.6% 4.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.8% 7.0% 6.5% 8.3% 7.8% 10.9% 11.5% 7.2% 5.2%
Phoebe Sprague 8.2% 8.6% 6.7% 7.7% 8.5% 7.9% 9.3% 7.2% 7.6% 7.1% 7.6% 5.8% 4.3% 3.0% 0.5%
Trevor Burd 13.5% 11.2% 9.5% 10.6% 9.0% 10.9% 9.5% 7.3% 5.6% 4.2% 3.3% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2%
David Pierce 4.5% 5.1% 6.5% 6.4% 5.0% 6.5% 5.5% 10.1% 8.2% 9.5% 8.3% 8.3% 7.8% 6.2% 2.1%
Neal Drake 3.7% 4.5% 2.8% 3.7% 4.7% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0% 7.4% 8.2% 8.2% 11.0% 10.3% 12.3% 8.0%
Ian Paice 5.9% 4.6% 6.9% 7.7% 6.1% 5.9% 6.7% 8.2% 9.0% 7.0% 9.0% 8.6% 6.7% 5.8% 1.9%
Tom Peabody 8.0% 7.2% 9.7% 9.9% 9.7% 8.3% 8.4% 8.9% 7.0% 6.4% 6.0% 5.9% 2.5% 1.3% 0.8%
Max Rollins 6.9% 7.3% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 9.0% 9.2% 8.0% 8.5% 6.2% 7.6% 4.3% 4.5% 3.2% 0.6%
Nick Waldo 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 3.4% 4.6% 4.9% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 7.9% 8.6% 11.6% 14.3% 12.8%
Max Fleischfresser 1.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 2.2% 4.1% 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 5.2% 7.7% 7.7% 13.3% 19.3% 22.1%
Erica Lush 4.4% 4.6% 5.8% 5.9% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 6.5% 7.9% 9.7% 10.0% 8.5% 8.5% 7.2% 4.0%
Hunter Mumma 7.9% 8.4% 9.9% 8.3% 10.4% 7.2% 8.0% 9.0% 7.1% 7.7% 6.2% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 1.0%
Matthew Wood 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 3.2% 3.8% 4.4% 7.2% 10.0% 16.2% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.