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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.92vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+0.47vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.66vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+1.33vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.11+0.04vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.31-1.34vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.68-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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2.47Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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3.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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5.33Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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5.04Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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4.66Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.91George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 24.3% | 23.3% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| JC Hermus | 31.6% | 27.3% | 19.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 14.2% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 24.0% | 34.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 22.5% | 27.8% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 19.7% |
| Matt Logue | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.