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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+1.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+2.28vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.38-1.00vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.74-0.96vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.31-1.34vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.11-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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5.28Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.0Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.04George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.66Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.9Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 34.4% | 23.7% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 12.9% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 21.5% | 35.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 23.0% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Michael Ehnot | 9.7% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 10.7% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 19.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 22.5% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.