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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+1.51vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+0.92vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+1.99vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.31+0.69vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68-0.88vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.36vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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2.92Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.99Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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4.69Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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5.12Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 33.0% | 26.0% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 23.0% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 22.5% | 26.8% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| Matt Logue | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 10.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 14.8% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 5.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.