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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+1.49vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.31+2.63vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+2.27vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.33vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68-0.85vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11-1.04vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.38-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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4.63Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.27Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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3.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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4.15George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.96Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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2.83Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 34.3% | 23.6% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 17.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 34.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 13.4% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 5.6% |
| Matt Logue | 9.5% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 11.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 27.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 24.5% | 24.7% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.