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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+0.50vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.31+1.67vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.68+0.11vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+0.26vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.35vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.11-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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2.5Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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4.67Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.26Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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3.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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4.85Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 24.3% | 22.5% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| JC Hermus | 30.4% | 28.2% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 8.3% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 20.9% |
| Matt Logue | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 10.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 35.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 14.9% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 6.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 23.6% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.