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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.92vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+3.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69-0.48vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.68+0.11vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.11+0.05vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.31-1.33vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.25Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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2.52Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.05Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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4.67Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 24.6% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 33.5% |
| JC Hermus | 29.9% | 27.2% | 20.3% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Matt Logue | 10.8% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 10.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 28.6% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 19.0% | 19.5% |
| Lewis Cooper | 17.0% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.