← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+7.56vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.20+5.23vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.45+2.82vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.29+2.43vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.40+1.23vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.37+0.92vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.14vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.22+0.25vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.39-2.63vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.42-1.03vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.87-0.20vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.00-0.66vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.07-0.35vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.27-4.17vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.06-8.12vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.59-5.29vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.0%1st Place
-
7.23Boston College2.207.1%1st Place
-
5.82Harvard University2.4511.8%1st Place
-
6.43Yale University2.2910.2%1st Place
-
6.23Roger Williams University2.4011.1%1st Place
-
6.92Brown University2.378.0%1st Place
-
10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.5%1st Place
-
8.25Brown University2.225.9%1st Place
-
6.37Dartmouth College2.398.3%1st Place
-
8.97University of Rhode Island1.425.4%1st Place
-
10.8University of Vermont0.872.5%1st Place
-
11.34Connecticut College1.002.7%1st Place
-
12.65Boston University1.071.9%1st Place
-
9.83Tufts University1.274.3%1st Place
-
6.88Bowdoin College2.068.5%1st Place
-
10.71Northeastern University1.593.2%1st Place
-
15.88Olin College of Engineering-0.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Robby Meek | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Mason Stang | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 3.4% |
| William Hurd | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 5.3% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 23.4% | 11.5% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.