← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.40+5.44vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.22+6.21vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+7.04vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.45+1.84vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.29+1.49vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.20+1.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.42+2.00vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.39-1.66vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.00+2.33vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.37-3.18vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-2.36vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.06-5.21vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.27-2.93vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.59-3.06vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.07-2.59vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.87-5.37vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.44Roger Williams University2.408.9%1st Place
-
8.21Brown University2.226.2%1st Place
-
10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.3%1st Place
-
5.84Harvard University2.4511.2%1st Place
-
6.49Yale University2.298.6%1st Place
-
7.13Boston College2.208.3%1st Place
-
9.0University of Rhode Island1.425.2%1st Place
-
6.34Dartmouth College2.399.3%1st Place
-
11.33Connecticut College1.003.2%1st Place
-
6.82Brown University2.378.9%1st Place
-
8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.8%1st Place
-
6.79Bowdoin College2.069.0%1st Place
-
10.07Tufts University1.274.0%1st Place
-
10.94Northeastern University1.593.0%1st Place
-
12.41Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
-
10.63University of Vermont0.873.5%1st Place
-
15.88Olin College of Engineering-0.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Robby Meek | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 4.9% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 9.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.