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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+5.87vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.39+4.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+5.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+5.87vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+1.43vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.45-0.15vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29-0.59vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.59+2.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.08vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.00+1.42vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-4.34vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-4.93vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-5.95vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.07-3.53vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Brown University2.378.7%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College2.3910.3%1st Place
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8.27Brown University2.225.9%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University1.274.6%1st Place
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6.43Roger Williams University2.4010.2%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University2.4510.3%1st Place
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6.41Yale University2.299.8%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University1.593.2%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.3%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College1.002.4%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College2.069.3%1st Place
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7.07Boston College2.207.8%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.9%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont0.872.5%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island1.424.2%1st Place
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12.47Boston University1.071.7%1st Place
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15.7Olin College of Engineering-0.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 5.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 22.1% | 8.8% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.