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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+3.11vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+3.19vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.67+3.66vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.75+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.81+4.69vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.74+0.56vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.21+1.30vs Predicted
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8Amherst College2.01+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.74-2.48vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65-3.00vs Predicted
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11Bates College2.26-2.73vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.67-1.60vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.32-4.79vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.30-2.80vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.82-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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5.19Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.66Connecticut College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.69University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.04Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.27Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.4Harvard University1.670.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.2Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 18.9% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 12.4% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Max Rollins | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| James Altreuter | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Neal Drake | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
| Tom Peabody | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Erica Lush | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Black | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Hunter Mumma | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| David Pierce | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Nick Waldo | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
| Ian Paice | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 20.3% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.