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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+1.50vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+0.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+0.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+0.68vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.55-0.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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2.94Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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3.41Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.68Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.07Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 29.9% | 27.0% | 21.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Claire Havig | 23.2% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 6.2% |
| Wells Drayton | 15.7% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 9.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 44.9% |
| Jonathan Chance | 8.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 25.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 16.2% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.