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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.77+4.23vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.68+3.75vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-0.27+6.05vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.33+5.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.45+1.43vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.50-0.10vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.50-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.16+0.50vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.32-2.39vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.67+0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.02-3.09vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-0.69-1.83vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.04-5.05vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.13vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.64-4.84vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.16-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23University of South Florida0.7712.7%1st Place
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5.75Jacksonville University0.6810.4%1st Place
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9.05Embry-Riddle University-0.274.5%1st Place
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9.04Jacksonville University-0.334.5%1st Place
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6.43University of South Florida0.457.8%1st Place
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5.9University of Miami0.5011.1%1st Place
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6.07Rollins College0.5010.3%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida-0.164.4%1st Place
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6.61Jacksonville University0.329.3%1st Place
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10.14Jacksonville University-0.673.4%1st Place
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7.91University of Miami0.026.3%1st Place
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10.17University of Florida-0.693.1%1st Place
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7.95Rollins College-0.046.2%1st Place
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11.87Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.7%1st Place
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10.16Florida Institute of Technology-0.643.8%1st Place
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15.23University of Central Florida-3.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghislaine van Empel | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Thran | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mason Howell | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Jay | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annie Samis | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Beatriz Newland | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Mason Mattice | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Conner Brandon | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 2.8% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Justin Tribou | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 2.5% |
| Milo Fleming | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 26.8% | 8.0% |
| Noah Scholtz | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 3.1% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.