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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+5.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+7.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+5.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+2.92vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27+5.22vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.59+4.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.29-1.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-0.47vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.39-3.56vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.45-5.04vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.06-5.07vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.20-5.86vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-1.54vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.00-3.72vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.96-0.14vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.87-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Roger Williams University2.408.9%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island1.424.9%1st Place
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8.22Brown University2.226.3%1st Place
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6.92Brown University2.378.3%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University1.273.8%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University1.592.9%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University2.2910.1%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.1%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College2.399.4%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.4511.5%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.068.8%1st Place
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7.14Boston College2.208.7%1st Place
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12.46Boston University1.071.5%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College1.002.9%1st Place
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15.86Olin College of Engineering-0.960.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont0.873.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Mason Stang | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 9.6% |
| William Hurd | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 5.3% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 70.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.