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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+3.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.75+4.16vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.74+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.74+2.47vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.67+4.91vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.67+0.76vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65-0.53vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.21+0.10vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.55-1.91vs Predicted
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10Amherst College2.01-1.06vs Predicted
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11Bates College2.26-2.93vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-6.74vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.41-2.54vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.30-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.48Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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9.91Harvard University1.670.0%1st Place
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6.76Connecticut College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.47Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.94Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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8.07Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.410.0%1st Place
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10.74Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 19.7% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Altreuter | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Tom Peabody | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Hunter Mumma | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Nick Waldo | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.7% |
| Max Rollins | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Erica Lush | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Black | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% |
| David Pierce | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Trevor Burd | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| David Hill | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 23.9% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.