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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+2.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+1.37vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+1.67vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.55-0.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62-2.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.96Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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2.6Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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3.38Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Havig | 19.6% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 5.9% |
| Wells Drayton | 17.1% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 11.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 46.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 11.0% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 21.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 29.9% | 24.9% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 15.3% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.