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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+2.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.62+0.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+1.66vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.55-0.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-1.57vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.94-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.98Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.43Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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3.44Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Havig | 20.0% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 6.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 33.5% | 23.8% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 45.6% |
| Jonathan Chance | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 23.1% | 21.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 14.3% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 11.7% |
| Wells Drayton | 15.2% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 17.6% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.