← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.62+1.51vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.24+0.97vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.02+1.65vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.94-0.58vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.55-0.94vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.98-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.51Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
-
2.97Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
-
4.65Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
-
3.42Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
-
4.06Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
-
3.39Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 29.8% | 27.0% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Claire Havig | 22.5% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 45.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 15.1% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 10.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 24.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 16.3% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.