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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+3.70vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.55+1.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62-0.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94-0.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-1.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.92Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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2.48Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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3.4Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.48Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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3.02Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 46.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 10.7% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 23.3% | 21.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 31.5% | 24.6% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Wells Drayton | 16.8% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 10.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 15.2% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 13.4% |
| Claire Havig | 20.7% | 20.9% | 21.3% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.