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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+2.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+1.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62-0.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94-0.59vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.55-0.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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2.44Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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3.41Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.07Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Havig | 19.9% | 22.5% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 7.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 17.1% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 10.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 32.2% | 24.3% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Wells Drayton | 16.3% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 10.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 22.2% | 24.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.