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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+2.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.62+0.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+1.66vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.55-0.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-1.56vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.98Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.44Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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3.03Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 14.8% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 12.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 33.2% | 24.4% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 45.4% |
| Jonathan Chance | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 24.1% | 20.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 14.0% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 12.0% |
| Claire Havig | 21.0% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.