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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+2.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+1.39vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.55+0.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98-0.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02-0.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.97Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.35Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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2.5Tufts University2.620.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Havig | 19.6% | 22.4% | 21.7% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 7.7% |
| Wells Drayton | 16.8% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 12.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 24.9% | 21.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 16.4% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 9.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 47.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 30.9% | 24.8% | 20.3% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.