Race 10A

bu-bridge-invitational-central-ser

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Mullins 19.4% 17.2% 15.8% 10.8% 9.6% 7.9% 5.5% 4.7% 3.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
James Altreuter 8.7% 10.7% 9.9% 7.8% 9.0% 6.8% 10.0% 9.3% 7.9% 7.1% 5.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2%
Phoebe Sprague 7.6% 8.0% 9.2% 8.0% 7.4% 6.9% 8.8% 8.7% 9.1% 8.0% 7.6% 4.8% 4.4% 1.5%
Max Rollins 6.3% 8.8% 8.4% 9.4% 7.3% 9.7% 8.9% 8.2% 7.2% 7.3% 7.9% 5.8% 2.8% 2.0%
Tom Peabody 6.7% 8.8% 9.0% 9.4% 9.1% 7.5% 9.2% 7.0% 9.2% 7.7% 6.2% 5.3% 3.4% 1.5%
Trevor Burd 12.2% 10.4% 12.1% 10.6% 10.7% 8.5% 7.8% 8.2% 6.4% 5.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Nick Waldo 3.4% 2.8% 4.7% 4.0% 4.8% 4.9% 3.7% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 10.3% 11.4% 14.0% 15.7%
Tyler Black 4.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.5% 5.4% 6.0% 6.0% 6.1% 8.1% 7.3% 9.7% 10.7% 12.0% 9.5%
Hunter Mumma 8.2% 8.4% 7.3% 7.5% 9.9% 11.1% 8.7% 8.5% 6.1% 8.0% 7.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.3%
Erica Lush 4.9% 5.0% 4.4% 5.6% 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 7.2% 8.4% 8.6% 10.7% 10.1% 8.4% 5.9%
Conor Fowler 8.0% 5.7% 5.2% 9.7% 7.7% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 7.6% 8.8% 7.4% 6.6% 5.4% 2.7%
David Pierce 5.0% 5.3% 4.5% 6.8% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 9.7% 8.5% 7.2% 7.7% 9.5% 7.3% 6.0%
David Hill 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 2.4% 4.3% 3.9% 3.3% 6.4% 7.6% 8.7% 11.9% 17.0% 24.1%
Max Fleischfresser 2.4% 2.1% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 3.8% 3.9% 4.8% 5.0% 6.4% 6.2% 11.9% 18.1% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.