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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+6.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+8.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+5.36vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.39+2.35vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+1.86vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.45-0.14vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40-0.55vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+0.94vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.29-2.58vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-1.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.99vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.59-1.10vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.96+2.92vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.89-2.76vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.07-2.68vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-5.42vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.37-10.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Boston College2.208.0%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University1.274.2%1st Place
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8.36Brown University2.225.8%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College2.399.4%1st Place
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6.86Bowdoin College2.067.2%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University2.4511.8%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University2.408.5%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.8%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.2910.4%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island1.425.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.0%1st Place
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10.9Northeastern University1.593.0%1st Place
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15.92Olin College of Engineering-0.960.2%1st Place
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11.24Connecticut College0.893.0%1st Place
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12.32Boston University1.071.9%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont0.873.6%1st Place
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6.78Brown University2.379.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Mason Stang | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 73.5% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 4.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 22.2% | 8.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 2.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.