Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Spencer Cartwright 12.7% 12.2% 8.7% 8.7% 8.3% 8.5% 5.6% 7.5% 6.0% 6.1% 4.3% 3.6% 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Cameron Wood 6.5% 6.7% 5.9% 6.7% 6.7% 5.8% 5.5% 5.9% 7.7% 5.4% 8.1% 5.5% 6.3% 5.4% 5.7% 3.5% 2.7%
Aidan Hoogland 10.3% 10.2% 8.9% 10.3% 7.4% 6.8% 7.2% 8.1% 5.5% 5.9% 5.2% 4.4% 3.4% 2.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
Riley Read 4.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.2% 4.4% 4.3% 4.5% 5.7% 5.2% 5.4% 6.0% 7.0% 7.0% 9.1% 7.2% 7.1% 8.4%
Daniel Unangst 7.4% 6.9% 7.8% 6.1% 8.1% 7.2% 7.0% 7.0% 5.4% 5.9% 5.8% 6.1% 4.3% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3% 2.1%
Alex Fasolo 7.3% 7.2% 6.9% 6.0% 8.7% 8.1% 6.7% 6.8% 5.9% 7.0% 4.9% 6.7% 5.0% 5.4% 3.4% 2.0% 2.0%
John Walton 5.6% 5.1% 4.6% 5.0% 4.7% 5.2% 6.5% 6.9% 6.7% 7.6% 6.2% 8.2% 6.2% 5.7% 5.5% 6.2% 4.1%
Ansgar Jordan 9.6% 8.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.7% 6.7% 7.2% 5.2% 6.3% 6.0% 5.9% 4.7% 4.1% 3.7% 3.4% 2.2% 1.2%
Austen Freda 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 3.6% 4.1% 4.4% 5.0% 4.4% 6.2% 4.9% 5.6% 6.6% 7.3% 8.2% 8.7% 10.1% 11.2%
Nathan Olmsted 5.7% 4.8% 6.4% 7.6% 5.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.0% 6.6% 5.1% 7.3% 5.2% 6.3% 5.8% 5.2% 4.4% 3.1%
William Bailey 3.0% 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 3.2% 3.6% 4.6% 4.3% 5.2% 4.7% 7.0% 6.5% 8.1% 13.0% 22.6%
Richie Gordon 4.0% 4.2% 6.1% 4.2% 4.9% 5.9% 5.0% 4.9% 5.4% 5.8% 5.5% 7.2% 7.1% 7.0% 7.6% 8.1% 7.1%
Samuel Merson 7.3% 6.4% 5.7% 6.1% 6.6% 8.3% 7.4% 6.7% 6.0% 7.2% 5.6% 6.7% 4.7% 4.3% 4.6% 3.6% 2.8%
Walter Gnann 3.6% 5.9% 5.2% 3.8% 6.1% 6.0% 5.4% 4.4% 6.5% 7.2% 6.9% 4.2% 7.3% 6.6% 8.7% 7.4% 4.8%
Michael Pinto 3.5% 4.0% 4.4% 4.0% 4.6% 4.3% 4.9% 4.6% 4.1% 5.2% 5.1% 6.5% 8.0% 7.2% 9.1% 9.7% 10.8%
Matthew Kickhafer 3.7% 2.9% 4.6% 6.3% 5.1% 4.6% 6.6% 5.6% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 5.9% 6.1% 7.3% 7.7% 7.6% 6.7%
George Higham 2.7% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 4.8% 3.7% 4.9% 5.7% 5.7% 4.5% 5.8% 6.8% 6.8% 8.1% 8.4% 8.6% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.