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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+5.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.07+10.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+5.21vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+2.82vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.45+0.84vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+0.98vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27+3.00vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.37-1.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.11vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.29-3.52vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-2.15vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.89-0.61vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.39-6.86vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-3.22vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-5.80vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.59-5.17vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Roger Williams University2.409.8%1st Place
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12.49Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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8.21Brown University2.226.3%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College2.068.6%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University2.4511.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston College2.209.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University1.274.2%1st Place
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6.82Brown University2.377.7%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.2%1st Place
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6.48Yale University2.298.8%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.1%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College0.892.9%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College2.3910.4%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont0.873.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.593.1%1st Place
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15.8Olin College of Engineering-0.960.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 10.3% |
| Mason Stang | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Robby Meek | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.