← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.55+3.08vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.75+4.18vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.65+3.77vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.67+5.84vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.13+0.38vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.55+1.16vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College2.01+1.50vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.74-1.59vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy1.30+1.92vs Predicted
-
10Bates College2.26-1.91vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.21-2.75vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.74-5.55vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.67-6.46vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.41-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
-
6.18Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.77Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
9.84Harvard University1.670.0%1st Place
-
5.38Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
7.16Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.5Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
-
6.41University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
-
10.92Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.09Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
-
8.25Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
6.45Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
-
6.54Connecticut College2.670.1%1st Place
-
10.45Northeastern University1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 20.2% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| James Altreuter | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Nick Waldo | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Black | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 30.1% |
| David Pierce | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Erica Lush | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Tom Peabody | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Max Rollins | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| David Hill | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.