Race 8A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Spencer Cartwright 13.3% 11.0% 9.8% 10.1% 7.6% 8.1% 6.7% 6.2% 5.6% 5.6% 5.1% 4.1% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Aidan Hoogland 10.6% 10.1% 9.0% 9.3% 8.4% 7.6% 8.5% 6.6% 6.7% 5.8% 3.9% 4.3% 3.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.8%
William Bailey 2.7% 2.2% 3.3% 2.7% 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 3.9% 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 6.4% 6.4% 8.5% 12.6% 20.9%
Richie Gordon 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 3.8% 5.4% 5.0% 4.5% 4.2% 6.3% 5.6% 5.7% 6.9% 7.6% 7.9% 7.9% 7.1% 7.8%
Cameron Wood 6.9% 7.2% 6.7% 5.6% 6.5% 7.9% 5.3% 7.3% 6.3% 5.7% 5.6% 5.9% 5.7% 4.5% 4.9% 5.3% 2.7%
Samuel Merson 6.5% 6.3% 6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 5.4% 7.9% 6.6% 5.9% 6.1% 7.3% 6.2% 5.1% 4.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.8%
Alex Fasolo 7.3% 7.2% 6.3% 7.1% 8.5% 7.3% 7.3% 7.7% 7.1% 6.7% 6.3% 5.2% 4.4% 4.1% 3.9% 2.6% 1.0%
Michael Pinto 4.1% 4.4% 4.5% 4.8% 4.4% 5.8% 4.2% 4.1% 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 6.8% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 9.6% 10.6%
Daniel Unangst 5.6% 6.2% 6.7% 7.8% 6.4% 7.5% 7.3% 5.2% 6.9% 6.1% 6.2% 4.8% 6.4% 6.0% 5.6% 3.1% 2.2%
George Higham 3.3% 3.9% 4.4% 4.7% 5.4% 4.2% 5.2% 4.8% 6.6% 7.9% 6.0% 5.7% 5.5% 7.3% 7.5% 9.3% 8.3%
Nathan Olmsted 6.2% 6.5% 5.2% 5.0% 5.1% 7.1% 5.4% 6.6% 5.9% 5.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.7% 5.6% 7.4% 4.9% 3.8%
Austen Freda 3.5% 2.8% 4.8% 4.8% 3.8% 5.3% 4.6% 5.5% 3.7% 4.8% 5.4% 6.7% 6.0% 8.6% 8.1% 10.6% 11.0%
Walter Gnann 4.6% 4.8% 4.8% 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.6% 7.1% 6.0% 6.3% 5.3% 7.4% 7.5% 7.7% 5.3% 6.7% 6.7%
John Walton 4.5% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 5.8% 4.6% 5.4% 5.8% 6.4% 5.3% 6.5% 7.5% 6.4% 7.8% 6.2% 6.5% 4.7%
Ansgar Jordan 9.4% 9.8% 8.3% 6.4% 8.3% 5.0% 7.2% 6.6% 6.2% 7.1% 7.7% 4.5% 4.3% 2.9% 2.9% 1.4% 2.0%
Matthew Kickhafer 3.5% 3.4% 4.4% 5.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.2% 5.8% 6.9% 6.9% 6.7% 5.2% 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 6.8% 7.4%
Riley Read 3.4% 4.1% 5.0% 5.3% 4.5% 4.7% 5.8% 6.2% 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 6.9% 7.7% 6.7% 7.1% 9.0% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.