← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.07+5.37vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.55+6.40vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.99+3.62vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.09+2.07vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.77+6.22vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.89+0.85vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+4.05vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.15+1.76vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+2.46vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.70-2.17vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.65vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.99vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida2.16-3.36vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.91-3.49vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-4.61vs Predicted
-
16University of Texas0.06+0.33vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University1.96-6.22vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University1.73-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.37Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
8.4Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
6.62Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.07College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
11.22Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
6.85Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
-
9.76University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
-
7.83Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.35U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
-
10.51Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
-
16.33University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.78Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
-
11.36George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 3.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 65.7% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.