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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+4.24vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+8.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.13vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+1.79vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+0.49vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.70+0.59vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+2.95vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.16vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77+0.50vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.73-0.14vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.15-3.30vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.16-4.54vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.55-6.87vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.96-5.32vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-5.44vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.06-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.24College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.06Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.49Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.59Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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10.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.5Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.86George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.13Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.68Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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11.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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16.21University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ella Withington | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 5.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 6.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 4.8% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.