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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+6.40vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+4.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.73+8.81vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+3.55vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+4.73vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16+2.78vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+2.30vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-2.91vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77+1.63vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.89-4.01vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.91-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-1.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.65vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-4.00vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.96-5.33vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.55-8.65vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.06-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.68Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.81George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.55Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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6.1College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.78University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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6.09Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.63Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.99Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.12Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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10.67Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.35Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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16.19University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Paris Henken | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 4.2% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ella Withington | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.