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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+5.93vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+4.32vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+7.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+4.23vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.39+1.36vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+0.79vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.45-1.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.75vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-0.45vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.29-3.77vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.00+0.45vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.07+0.29vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-2.36vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.27-4.09vs Predicted
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151.42-4.61vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.96-0.14vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.37-10.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Boston College2.208.6%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University2.409.5%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University1.592.8%1st Place
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8.23Brown University2.225.5%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College2.399.1%1st Place
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6.79Bowdoin College2.068.9%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University2.4512.5%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.5%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.4%1st Place
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6.23Yale University2.2910.8%1st Place
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11.45Connecticut College1.002.2%1st Place
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12.29Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont0.873.4%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University1.273.8%1st Place
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10.391.423.1%1st Place
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15.86Olin College of Engineering-0.960.4%1st Place
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6.88Brown University2.378.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Mason Stang | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 5.2% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 9.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 3.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Henry Lee | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 70.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.