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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+6.88vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+4.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.48vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.73+7.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+6.32vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+4.97vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-0.82vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+3.08vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15+0.16vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-4.67vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.16-1.77vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.49vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-2.84vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.55-6.82vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.25-6.42vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.89-9.95vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.06-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.69Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.48George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.97Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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6.18Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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10.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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6.33College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.23University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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8.18Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.58Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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16.24University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 4.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ella Withington | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Paris Henken | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 5.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Marley Mais | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.