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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+10.51vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+4.34vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+7.05vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+3.53vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+5.74vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+4.42vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.55+0.11vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-2.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.89-2.95vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-0.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.15-3.25vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.96-3.62vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-4.02vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.06+0.30vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.73-5.27vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.80-10.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.51Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.34Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.53Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.74Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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8.11Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.03College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.38Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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16.3University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
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11.73George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 6.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 5.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Paris Henken | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Ella Withington | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 3.7% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 63.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 6.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.