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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.73+10.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+5.40vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+5.45vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+2.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+6.24vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96+4.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+3.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+1.79vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.70-1.48vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+1.30vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.89-4.01vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.07-5.49vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-6.98vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.91-3.48vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.16-5.24vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-7.36vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-5.36vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.06-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.65George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.45Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.36Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.24Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.59Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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7.52Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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6.99Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.02College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.52Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.76University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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16.2University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 6.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ella Withington | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 5.2% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.