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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.04+7.24vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.94+6.64vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.51+7.42vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64+1.76vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+0.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+0.61vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16+0.52vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.87vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+1.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.78+3.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.20vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.69-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.65+0.22vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.02-6.16vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.31-4.14vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.76-2.93vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.98-8.63vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.42Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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5.76College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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5.82Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.52Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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13.17U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.79Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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10.86Jacksonville University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.07George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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15.0University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 16.6% |
| Emma Snead | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 17.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Madison Reynolds | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 19.5% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.