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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+7.13vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.06+4.87vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+3.91vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.59+6.67vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.37+1.70vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.00+5.53vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.87+2.62vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.40-2.63vs Predicted
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101.42+0.34vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.39-4.79vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.45-6.20vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-4.29vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.27-4.17vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.96+0.82vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-6.03vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.07-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Brown University2.226.1%1st Place
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6.87Bowdoin College2.068.9%1st Place
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6.91Boston College2.208.3%1st Place
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10.67Northeastern University1.593.6%1st Place
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6.7Brown University2.379.3%1st Place
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11.53Connecticut College1.002.4%1st Place
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6.37Yale University2.2910.2%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont0.873.5%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University2.4010.0%1st Place
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10.341.423.1%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College2.399.5%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.4510.9%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University1.273.5%1st Place
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15.82Olin College of Engineering-0.960.3%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.4%1st Place
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12.16Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 5.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 70.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.