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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+3.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.75+4.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+3.75vs Predicted
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4Amherst College2.01+4.82vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.74+1.55vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.67+3.93vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13-1.98vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.26-0.08vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.55-1.95vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.21-1.76vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.67-4.27vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.74-5.51vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.41-2.52vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.30-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.82Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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9.93Harvard University1.670.0%1st Place
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5.02Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.92Bates College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.73Connecticut College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.49Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University1.410.0%1st Place
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10.75Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 19.3% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Altreuter | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Black | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 7.9% |
| Hunter Mumma | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Nick Waldo | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 18.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| David Pierce | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Erica Lush | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Max Rollins | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| David Hill | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 23.7% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.