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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Mullins 19.3% 16.7% 15.8% 10.9% 11.4% 6.9% 5.2% 4.8% 3.2% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
James Altreuter 8.8% 10.2% 8.6% 8.0% 10.5% 7.6% 9.1% 8.5% 9.3% 6.4% 5.5% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1%
Phoebe Sprague 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 9.1% 7.1% 7.9% 8.5% 8.4% 8.6% 8.9% 7.0% 5.5% 3.8% 1.6%
Tyler Black 2.9% 4.5% 4.3% 5.8% 5.6% 6.2% 5.7% 7.4% 7.0% 9.2% 10.3% 10.9% 12.3% 7.9%
Hunter Mumma 7.1% 7.5% 9.8% 9.7% 8.9% 8.6% 8.1% 7.3% 8.5% 8.5% 6.3% 5.0% 3.4% 1.3%
Nick Waldo 3.4% 2.7% 2.8% 3.3% 4.4% 3.3% 4.5% 5.8% 5.8% 9.6% 9.5% 12.0% 14.7% 18.2%
Trevor Burd 13.9% 13.9% 11.3% 10.0% 9.7% 10.0% 8.7% 6.3% 6.1% 4.1% 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
David Pierce 5.6% 5.9% 5.4% 7.0% 5.8% 7.2% 6.3% 8.0% 10.0% 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 7.7% 5.6%
Conor Fowler 7.5% 5.0% 7.3% 8.0% 7.9% 8.6% 9.4% 9.7% 8.3% 7.1% 9.0% 6.4% 3.4% 2.4%
Erica Lush 4.5% 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 6.6% 7.6% 7.3% 8.0% 7.9% 7.9% 11.5% 10.4% 8.0% 5.3%
Max Rollins 7.3% 8.3% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.2% 10.2% 7.2% 8.6% 7.1% 7.0% 5.7% 3.7% 2.0%
Tom Peabody 7.6% 7.8% 9.1% 10.3% 9.0% 9.2% 8.2% 7.8% 7.5% 7.2% 5.9% 4.4% 4.1% 1.9%
David Hill 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 5.9% 4.9% 6.9% 8.3% 12.1% 17.9% 23.7%
Max Fleischfresser 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 4.2% 5.1% 4.9% 4.3% 6.3% 6.5% 12.1% 17.1% 28.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.