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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+9.24vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+5.74vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+6.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+2.51vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.51+5.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.02+2.10vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.64-1.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.04-0.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-1.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.78+2.04vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.94-3.19vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.31-2.21vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.69-4.82vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.62-9.23vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.76-2.91vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.65-3.50vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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7.74Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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5.79College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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10.79Jacksonville University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.18Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.77Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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13.09George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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14.96University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille McGriff | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Kylie Castellano | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 14.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Madison Reynolds | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.7% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 17.9% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.