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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+7.28vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+5.73vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+5.12vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+5.26vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+0.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+0.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.64-1.30vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51+2.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.94-1.38vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.00vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-1.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.78-0.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+0.82vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.76-2.03vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.65-2.57vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.04-4.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-10.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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7.73Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.76Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.7College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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10.02Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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10.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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14.82University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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12.97George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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12.05Jacksonville University1.040.0%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 12.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 12.7% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 35.9% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 17.4% |
| Isabel Smith | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% |
| Emma Snead | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.