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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+4.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+6.42vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+2.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+5.30vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.02+2.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+0.55vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+3.02vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.81vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.04-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.94-1.35vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-3.36vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.51-1.53vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.31-2.14vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.36vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+0.12vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-7.61vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.76-3.85vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.65-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.91Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.3Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.64Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.47Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.86Jacksonville University1.310.0%1st Place
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12.64U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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15.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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13.15George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Kylie Castellano | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Madison Reynolds | 3.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.0% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 39.5% |
| Annie Buelt | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 16.3% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.