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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+5.79vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.94+6.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+6.67vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.88vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.78+7.81vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+3.93vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+1.23vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.62-2.24vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.04-1.06vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.76+3.22vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.65+2.42vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+3.29vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.16-5.54vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.64-8.42vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-4.93vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.02-7.89vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.31-5.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-9.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.67Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.76Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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13.22George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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15.29University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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7.46Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.58College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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10.07Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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11.05Jacksonville University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.5% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 13.8% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 16.3% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 42.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Kylie Castellano | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Madison Reynolds | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Annie Buelt | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.