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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+5.04vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+8.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+5.23vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+5.27vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.76+7.85vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+1.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+1.18vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.88vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.64-3.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.94-1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-2.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.78+1.24vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.51-2.99vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.31-3.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+0.04vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.02-7.92vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.65-3.50vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.41-11.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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9.27Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.85George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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7.51Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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13.24U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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10.01Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.65Jacksonville University1.310.0%1st Place
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15.04University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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13.5University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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6.4Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 11.0% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 13.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Annie Buelt | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 14.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Madison Reynolds | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 38.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 18.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.